Rule of thirds

There is a rule of thirds in life Tommy Lasorda, legendary Hall of Fame Coach for the Los Angles Dodgers once said, "No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are, you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." And so it is in politics. There are a third of Americans in Trump's corner - his base, and basically his approval rating right now. The folks who will stick with him through thick and thin. There are a third of Americans who will never like Trump. Basically Hillary's base and #NeverTrump. There is also a third out there somewhere in-between. Some soccer moms who like strong schools (social services and the like usually associated with Democrats), and strong police and defense (usually a Republican issue) who are not so sure. These are the people who swing back and forth and get moderates like George W., Obama, Clinton and George Sr. elected. It is these people Trump is trying to appeal to. One of two things can happen here that could be good for him. Either, they start believing him. Or, they throw up their hands and say "who knows anymore?" If he gets these people to stay home, and his base is bigger, even by the slimmest of margins - he wins.